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Leo

@leohenkels

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@leohenkels
Good read about why sports books have limits in place. https://establishtherun.com/a-discussion-about-limits-in-sports-betting/
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@leohenkels
Everyone and their mother will be on the over tonight. So we gotta do the opposite!
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@leohenkels
Gross bet, but that’s how you bet the NFL: Bills v Dolphins 1H under 23.5 -105
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@leohenkels
Great interview with Chad Millman from action on gos to be a smarter bettor. Some great insights. https://open.spotify.com/episode/0bcWaxFDU7JUlN7UdbhxyD?si=Dn5R6x2rRhOTMqNmW16U8Q&t=5852&context=spotify%3Ashow%3A5ss1pqMFqWjkOpt6Ag0fZW
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@leohenkels
New Rüfüs just dropped. https://youtu.be/eQ-OVsdK-hM?si=dqkkG4g2nCHyu0wd
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@leohenkels
Been a tough couple of weeks
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@leohenkels
Sam Darnold! Vikings are back!
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Madison is a cool spot
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Give me Texas, NC State, Iowa, and Cuse!!!!
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@leohenkels
Huge win! Man still a bit scared about Hurts decision making, but a big win nonetheless.
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@leohenkels
Eagles -2, GO BIRDS
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CFB Betting thread this week with a bonus NFL Bet. Headed back to the well on a few plays this week, and focusing on Big 10 unders + SEC supremacy. Eagles -2 (1 Unit) because I'm a fan and Go Birds.
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@leohenkels
Go birds!
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@leohenkels
1-2 tonight. Another close one. Move to 5-7-1 on the season. We bounce back this weekend.
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How close am I to losing my shit because of close bets not falling my way to start the season? This close.
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Look at all these bots commenting on my cast. They have no idea that B-OB stands for Bill Obrien. Gave me a good chuckle.
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NFL Bets - TNF + NFL Futures! Thursday Night Football (Ravens v Chiefs): I always bet the under on the first game of the season. It's usually a stand-alone primetime game with a ton of starters that haven't played in the pre-season. Expect the offenses to look sluggish despite all the talent out there. I'm looking for a slow start hence the quarter and half bets. All bets for .5 Units. Under 46 −106 Full Game Under 9.5−105 1st Quarter Under 23.5−120 1st Half Season Long Futures: When I take a season-long future, I try to find picks with value (nothing worse than -120). I think the Panthers and the Packers both find themselves in bad divisions. With the exception of the Lions, who might come back to earth, I'd be hard-pressed to think any team in those two divisions will dominate. The Rams is a: 1. Bet on health, 2. Bet on their O-line, 3. Bet on the 49ers and Seahawks to recede. All bets for 1 Unit. Panthers Over 5.5 Wins −115 Packers Over 10.5 Wins +150 Rams Over 10.5 Wins +195
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Ahem.
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Today BC shocks the world. (We could get blown out by 40 or upset FSU) https://x.com/bcfootball/status/1830385103341559910?s=46&t=dUmbu2K904B2jVSdb-L8fA
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4-5-1 to start the season. Came close to having a really good week, but close isn’t good enough! Will be back with NFL and CFB picks next week!
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