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ted (not lasso)
@ted
change my mind: in its current form, you can make more money using @polymarket to front run MSM's and the timeline's coverage / sentiment of the election than you can make from predicting the actual outcome it will eventually become "the truth machine," but idk about rn and that's ok its still valuable today
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Elie
@elie
There are plenty of betting markets around. Polymarket nothing new. It just reflects the rest of the market. And if you really think you can beat the market then just bet. But it’s not as easy as it looks (and people realise quickly the market is accurate)
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ted (not lasso)
@ted
i live in america so i cannot bet (yet)!!!! but say more? like the market movements from pre-debate to now have been very predictable for someone with a little bit of edge on what's about to hit the news (me)
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Elie
@elie
🤷♂️ maybe you have an edge. I bet just now on Spain to win Euro 2024 at 59%. I think it’s more like 70%. But realistically if you test yourself against the market you’ll find the market is highly intelligent. There are smart people that do this for a living.
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Elie
@elie
You can use VPN to get around Polymarket if you really want btw.
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RJ ⚡️🎩🔵↑
@baznocap
I wonder if allowed on Native American reservations? Betting on elections is banned in states, not federally, and reservations are exempt from state laws.
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Elie
@elie
I assume Polymarket isn’t allowing people in those places either. But easy to get around if you want to
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