change my mind: in its current form, you can make more money using @polymarket to front run MSM's and the timeline's coverage / sentiment of the election than you can make from predicting the actual outcome

it will eventually become "the truth machine," but idk about rn and that's ok its still valuable today

/ted | exploring the onchain frontier | surfing @ venice, ca | eating @ gjusta / gjelina

There are plenty of betting markets around. Polymarket nothing new. It just reflects the rest of the market. And if you really think you can beat the market then just bet. But it’s not as easy as it looks (and people realise quickly the market is accurate)

Building getinboxzero.com and sharemint.xyz.

I also run a YouTube channel, "Learn from Open Source": youtube.com/elie2222 

https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-politics/us-presidential-election/democratic-candidate

🤷‍♂️ maybe you have an edge.

I bet just now on Spain to win Euro 2024 at 59%. I think it’s more like 70%.

But realistically if you test yourself against the market you’ll find the market is highly intelligent. There are smart people that do this for a living.

i live in america so i cannot bet (yet)!!!!

but say more? like the market movements from pre-debate to now have been very predictable for someone with a little bit of edge on what's about to hit the news (me)