politics

I told you.

Most recent Real Clear Politics polling average. Not Polymarket, not other prediction markets either.

Liberals can ignore data at their own risk, but the more Harris leans right, the worse she does. This is exactly what happened to H. Clinton.

Good example of someone who was able to analyze data logically vs. emotionally. More people like this.

Data doesn't lie. Ignore your base and you lose.

RCP averages of early to mid October were right on the money

the data was right there the entire time and people were piling on nate silver? idiots.

leaning more left wouldn’t have helped either — would’ve just lost the moderates/republicans who moved over (would’ve just sat it out) — and would’ve lost that way also just differently (just a numbers game —not enough on the left left). Bernie might have done better in 2016 (not sure he would’ve beat trump but maybe) but not in 2024.