I realized what bothers me about @vitalik.eth d/acc essay. Even though it is optimistic, it shares with the pessimist side a presumption that technology, as an evolutionary process, *can* be governed according to some notion of human intent.

“Tech can/cannot be governed” is a bigger divide than optimism/pessimism

Blogger at ribbonfarm.com, running summerofprotocols.com, host of /gloom ☀️

I'm in the tech can't be governed, mostly.

Counter examples
- Nuclear
- Aviation
- Pharmaceuticals

They all share a very high fixed cost to build the infrastructure to get started.

And are also heavily regulated which for semiconductors is not the case modulo sanctions which don't really slow down innovation

Semiconductor fabrication and gpu clusters don’t require high fixed costs? 🤔

isn‘t a prime example of this

- specialized silicon

otherwise we‘d see taiwan and ASML copies succeeding in the US