skininthegame

Pretty fascinating by the polymarket whale

tldr: “neighbor method” is a better poll method. Asking somebody who their neighbor is going to vote for reveals preferences better than asking individuals who they will vote for

Pretty fascinating by the polymarket whale

tldr: “neighbor method” is a better poll method. Asking somebody who their neighbor is going to vote for reveals preferences better than asking individuals who they will vote for

https://www.wsj.com/finance/how-the-trump-whale-correctly-called-the-election-cb7eef1d

“show me the incentive and I’ll show you the outcome”

quite literally in this case lol

Nate silver is canceled 
(and no longer a witch)