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christopher
@christopher
this is my best guess for what happens election day. North Carolina is the key state. the governor's race is an absolute disaster there for the GOP and is dragging down independent voters for them.
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christopher
@christopher
fyi North Carolina also *gained* an electoral vote since 2020. it's the worst possible scenario for Trump. he not only loses a state he won in 2020, but it mattered more in 2024 that he kept it.
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