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christopher
@christopher
i mean Walz has way better odds at VP than Polymarket is giving, right? https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-vp-nominee/will-tim-walz-be-the-2024-democratic-vp-nominee?tid=1722804001768
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raquo
@raquo.eth
impossible, prediction markets are a perfect representation of the chances because of incentives, or something \s
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christopher
@christopher
i think it still does a pretty good job. but there’s a ton of arbitrage opportunities people are glossing over that will surprise in both pain and delight
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