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Dan Romero
@dwr.eth
Early voting totals, polls and markets seem to indicate either GOP landslide—or an Election Day collapse (because so many voted early, some GOP voters stay home because of perceived lead, strong turn out from Dems, indpts and dual hate break for Harris). Kalshi at $100M in volume negating “Americans can’t bet” argument. Robinhood launching trading will also add liquidity. Maybe some big trader will take EV+ Kamala 3x bet in size over the weekend.
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Chris Carlson
@chrislarsc
Was this the first time GOP (successfully) marketed early voting? I haven’t been following closely, but in the past, it seemed like so much effort went into trying to reduce turnout
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Dan Romero
@dwr.eth
They are significantly outperforming 2020 and 2022. TBD what that means for Election Day, though.
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