yr4 asteroid now at 3.1% chance of impact. 

not zero but enough to be interesting. 

if it crosses 10% (doesn’t seem likely) then I’d imagine it becoming a very large thing across the board.

if it continues to increase, this is what i expect to play out:
- trajectory is not over U.S., current state of politics pushes "why should we spend money to save another country's city?"
- china takes this opportunity to push its space agency to new heights by playing earth protector to project soft hegemony, funds project to deflect asteroid
- U.S. realizes geopolitical miss, ramps up efforts to compete
- as time grows closer, asteroid determined to never hit earth, but political damage is done, sets new generational tone

BDFL of Quilibrium, Eng @ Farcaster, ex-Coinbase, always opinionated, never hydrated

/quilibrium