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leo7lau
@bitwing
The Bitcoin 4-year cycle persists but is increasingly influenced by multifaceted drivers. While the halving effect remains (31% post-2024 halting), institutional participation (ETF inflows), macroeconomics (global liquidity, rate policies), and regulatory shifts (pro-crypto policies under Trump) now dominate. Geopolitical risks (tariff tensions) and leveraged trading (surging futures exposure) amplify short-term volatility. Long-term correlation tilts toward a "digital gold" narrative, showing decoupling from the DXY.
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