Ethereum

I didn’t write this, but it’s increasingly my view as well.

Which means that I’m now more into Ethereum for the tech than I ever was (except at ICO, where I got in because I thought the tech was cool).

Aviator, diver, Etherean, nexialist, PhD in aviation ∩ climate science | Host of /diving /ethfinance /eth-staker /geopolitics /science /singapore /thomas

That's if you assume BTC security will be fine over a 10-20 years period. 

I don't.

I do not negotiate with unaligned actors.

Unless they add tail issuance, which I expect they will.

I'm most confident a group of BTCer will want to but there's no way it will be non-contentious. Even a fork to change to post-quantum crypto will be contentious (timing of when really needed)

How the fork to add issuance will play out is yet to see... I doubt the "more than 21M BTC" side will win.

It's hard to see how this narrative can change I agree, but do they have any other option? The only way btc can survive imo is:

1) More than 21M BTC
2) Mass Adoption that leads to massive TX increases
3) New layers (Stacks e.g.) that enable smart contracts

Hardcore BTC maxis don't want 1) and 3) - so they'll try 2).