Why I disagree with Zeihan…

He thinks America is physically stronger than China.

I think America is digitally stronger, but physically weaker.

Why?

China is the factory of the world and can build infra at literally >100X the speed of California.

But it isn’t as good at global apps.
And it can’t argue in Engl

All of Zeihan’s paeans to US geography ignore the fact that politicians make it impossible to build Keystone XL.

All his praise of the US military ignores the fact that industrial militaries are about manufacturing — and the manufacturing is in China.

And also ignores that we’re in the age of drones and cyberwa

Software engineer. CTO @ conductive.ai

http://paulpierre.com

TLDR:
1) Robotics > demographics
2) If it's even *possible* to boost births by state action, China will do it
3) And US demographics are on many dimensions actually far worse than China's — political polarization, family breakdown, internal conflict, etc

See:
https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1448803665293185025

Hi Balaji, what about his point on demography and reluctance to adopt Western immigration policy? What would be the realistic counterfactual.

protoss vs zerg 

protoss wins your heart but zerg wins the game