axek on Warpcast

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https://warpcast.com/~/channel/insider-trading

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Maretus pfp

When bond yields look like a shitcoin, you know we’re in trouble.

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axek pfp

This means they are deliberately manipulated

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Maretus pfp

Nah, this just means that someone very large like China or a huge hedge fund in Japan is selling their bond holdings. This hasn’t happened in over 40 years.

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axek pfp

Isn't it a definition of market manipulation? More or less? And btw do you mean the US government bonds 10yr yield? Which graph iwas it?

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Yea - U.S. government bonds and 30yr

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axek pfp

You know what. Only lazy haven't set up sanctions on Russia, and in 7 years time, the economy is growing, the things imported all the time were replaced by local etc. i mean something that looked like a disaster in hindsight looks like a blessing. Im Russian just saying what i noticed over the last 5-7 years. The point is, whats good or bad only time could tell. All in all comfort ain't the best soil for motivated development. Discomfort brings you to a context you actually start solving problems and grow. So embrace. We ordinary people can't do much about it anyway

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Russias economy is only growing because of the war. And it’s all balancing on a very fine edge. I know there’s not a lot I can do, but if I can help even 1 person understand why this is a bad idea, I’ll be satisfied.

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axek pfp

Why isn't other countries economy grow because of the war? I don't think Russia is the only one at war now. And majority of the sanctions were installed long before the war Even the Russian gold and foreign exchange reserves that were simply stolen by the EU turn out to be no big deal despite the fact Russia has no access to those assets (more than 300 billion dollars which is a half of overall russian reserves).

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War always helps a countries economy in the short term. You have lower unemployment because of all the people dying. You have way higher government spending because of all the bombs and ammo and other shit being bought. A lot of people think WW2 is the reason the US got out of the Great Depression. I disagree but most people will tell you, war is good for the economy in the short term.

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axek pfp

I got your point but saying that war is ONLY driver of russian economy is a huge underestimation of whats Russia is capable of. And again I'm not saying that the war doesn't drive economy. Im saying that it was growing prior to the war despite Russia being the most sanctioned country in the world Are you saying Russia is at war since 1999 according to this graph?

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Not at all. Russia has been embracing capitalism for the last 30 years so regardless of any outside circumstances, it will do better than it did with a centrally managed socialist economy. When you let people create businesses and build stuff without a permission slip from the government, they do and everyone is richer because of it.

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