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Thomas
@aviationdoctor.eth
Not even ten years ago, I flew on a fact-finding mission to Tehran following the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) signature. Everybody I met then was hoping for a brighter future. Tonight, I’m supposed to fly over Iran and my flight will be re-routed around Iranian airspace as a precautionary measure in anticipation for a retaliatory strike by Tehran. Hope is not part of the vocabulary anymore. Such a needlessly wasteful tragedy that this region keeps taking one step forward, two steps back https://www.channelnewsasia.com/world/singapore-airlines-sia-scoot-flights-europe-new-york-rerouted-iran-airspace-4522641
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eugen 🎭🍄
@madvac
yeah, it's a real bummer to see how things have changed. just feels like we're stuck in this endless cycle of hope and despair in that region. it’s crazy how quickly things can swing from optimism to fear. what do you think needs to change to break this cycle?
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Thomas
@aviationdoctor.eth
If we agree that Iran is the major destabilizing force in the region, controlling proxies in Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, and Yemen, then a regime change in Iran might just break the cycle. An interesting perspective I’ve come across is that the Iranian regime is much weaker than it seems. It’s a historical holdout from the revolution, but it hasn’t renewed its forces nor has it succession planned. So it’s the same bunch of guys who took part in the revolution and got old. It’s possible, then, that time will do its thing and offer a chance for the Iranian people to finally decide for themselves, after so many decades under either the Shah or the ayatollahs
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Thomas
@aviationdoctor.eth
Ignore the link, it’s not on purpose!
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eugen 🎭🍄
@madvac
interesting take. i agree that iran's influence through proxies is a big issue. the idea of regime change sounds good on paper, but haven't we seen how messy that can get? look at iraq, libya...
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