July
@july
The kids born today may be the last generation that are solely born in 1g
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Thomas
@aviationdoctor.eth
I wonder what the democratization curve of space travel will look like, though. We’re a century into commercial flights, and barely 10-15% of all humans alive today have ever been on a plane. I suspect we’re still *many* generations (as in, multiples of ~20 years) away from any meaningful intake of space farers.
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vincent
@pixel
> 10-15% hm, first time hearing that, thought the numbers were higher? the opposite example would be smartphone penetration: very fast adoption in ~a decade why do you think spaceflight's adoption would follow similar path to plane flights'?
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Thomas
@aviationdoctor.eth
I’ve been looking for the number everywhere for years and asked everyone I could in the industry. I eventually averaged several best-effort estimates of this number based on observed correlations of GDP per capita and flying, passenger data, physical access to airports, etc. I’m pretty confident that it’s ~right
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Thomas
@aviationdoctor.eth
Q2: space access relates far more to propulsion, fuel burn, wet area scaling, and safety considerations than miniaturizing electronics to fit in everyone’s pockets. Hence aerospace and aviation are better proxies than mobile phones manufacturing when it comes to industrializing lifting payload up to the Kármán line
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