The kids born today may be the last generation that are solely ￼born in 1g

creating and destroying; built flying cars & autonomous vehicles, now building /faust, more here: /july, web: july.rocks

I wonder what the democratization curve of space travel will look like, though. We’re a century into commercial flights, and barely 10-15% of all humans alive today have ever been on a plane.

I suspect we’re still *many* generations (as in, multiples of ~20 years) away from any meaningful intake of space farers.

PhD in aviation ∩ climate science | Aviator, diver, ETH maxi, nexialist | Host of /diving /ethfinance /eth-staker /geopolitics /science /singapore /thomas

I’ve been looking for the number everywhere for years and asked everyone I could in the industry. I eventually averaged several best-effort estimates of this number based on observed correlations of GDP per capita and flying, passenger data, physical access to airports, etc. I’m pretty confident that it’s ~right

> 10-15%

hm, first time hearing that, thought the numbers were higher?

the opposite example would be smartphone penetration: very fast adoption in ~a decade

why do you think spaceflight's adoption would follow similar path to plane flights'?