artlu on Warpcast

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Stephan pfp

Professional yappers be yapping (ape pfp also invalidates opinions)

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artlu pfp

why the ad hominem?

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dusan.framedl.eth pfp

dusan.framedl.eth

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artlu pfp

I've got an AI too

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dusan.framedl.eth pfp

dusan.framedl.eth

wasn't ai, just taleb

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artlu pfp

that guy looks like he smells bad and his blowhard writing leaves so many logical holes, it's clear he's writing to impress those less intelligent than him, rather than elevating the argument above his intellectual level. FWIW NTT describes it as "matters that require expertise" whereas my AI tells me it's about whether one's credibility is directly relevant to the issue at hand. So he seems to be a bit of a credentialist

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dusan.framedl.eth pfp

dusan.framedl.eth

credential is a proxy. bad, but useful model for an imperfect world. in a perfect world the argument that "yapper" presented would be a pretty hard fact, but he's got something at stake (reputation, engagement...) and you can't leave that out. ai is still mid — look at how it first told you ad hominem is an absolute fallacy and now it's telling you it depends. 🙂‍↔️

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artlu pfp

since he yapped on another platform, here we have an opportunity to engage with the difficult facts qua facts. I'll grant you this -- identifying context can give space to a more reasoned response. But the ad hominem should be the initial reply, not the mic drop final word. I saw more tribal pile-ons and patting each other on the back, and less than a handful of reasons why it's OK if what he said, was true. yeah I don't like AI either. I only think it's useful to identify the first-order shape of shared understanding

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dusan.framedl.eth pfp

dusan.framedl.eth

i take criticism seriously, especially from outsiders, but what the guy presented is so simplistic, it doesn't deserve much discussion. revenue and revenue growth? while they're trying to slash signup costs as much as possible, battling spam brought about by (cool, but often deadly) sofi experiments? 6 months after a raise that put merkle on a 5y+ runway, and pronouncing it non-existent? ignorant at best.

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artlu pfp

I think rev growth (maybe after re-scaling for signup cost change) is as good a proxy as any for network growth. Arguably, better than top-line number of casts, replies, messages, etc. And it suggests that the network appears cooked. Are you seeing any green shoots data to suggest otherwise? Another critique I have is that after taking many shots on goal, those shots are taken. We most likely won't get another Degen new activity pop, or a 10x better Moxie, or another superfriends X cross-posting growth hack. Subsequent efforts will be lesser and worse. We may get something entirely new, but that space is now by definition smaller. Failure is not costless, and the lessons prune the branches of possible outcomes. Channels may be next. In fact, I'm back because the new channels approach feels like a last chance to make them work. I love the idea of channels as containers for permissions. And hope my ability to hack together a decentralized encoding/decoding mechanism makes them more fun, more likely to stick.

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dusan.framedl.eth

re growth: i'd agree if we were talking about a regular, closed platform. fc is a prime example of an ecosystem that captures the "slowly then suddenly" mantra. of course it requires a certain amount of (naive?) faith, because it's very hard to prove we're on the right track. data won't help here, and may even work against you. re shots: i like to mentally travel back to before times, and i can't speak for you, but i couldn't foresee any of those shots happening. we're still in the early days and pieces are just starting to come together. what's more important though, and i see this faulty reasoning too often, is that many of these shots weren't a blessing for the platform (https://warpcast.com/ds8/0xc1c0145e). farcaster grew thanks to them, and survived in spite of them. to sum it up, i don't have a proof in my hands, but also think those arguments are moot *when talking about a living and developing system*.

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