Hugh Naylor
@hughnaylor
Short answer: yes to gold up. Nerd answer: For this pivot to US protectionism to work, I’m kinda in the Luke Gromen/Mel Mattison camp. The dollar will have to be devalued in a big way ultimately to inflate away huge debt load/incentivize domestic industry (ie significant monetary inflation for a while), entailing a major restructuring of US debt (YCC/QE etc). So dollar remains a — but not the only — reserve currency. But US treasuries no longer reserve asset in such a scenario. For the latter, the US/world will likely need a neutral reserve asset like gold and maybe some Bitcoin. Possibly signs of this already happening with gold. I could be wrong!
2 replies
0 recast
8 reactions
antaur
@antaur.eth
thank you for your confirmation on gold up and I (think) I now better understand devalue dollar = value of China's assets drop And with Gold you mean China/Russia etc. buying heavily recently?
1 reply
0 recast
1 reaction
Hugh Naylor
@hughnaylor
So I don’t know for sure but seems like solid evidence that China and Russia, along with Saudi, Poland and, well, many other govs, have been loading up on gold (especially after the US seized Russian assets following the 2022 Ukraine invasion). Also heard that the CCP has essentially encouraged Chinese citizens to accumulate gold instead of, say, dollars as a new hedge/savings tool (especially since China’s property market is a mess) but also to avoid dollars becoming a savings tool like in Argentina, thus making the Chinese populace/economy less vulnerable to US monetary/econ influence 👍
1 reply
0 recast
1 reaction