What's the over/under on whether Twitter recovers?

It's quite possible that some combination of algo changes, anti-Elon sentiment, loss of personnel, and rise of private chats has finally killed Twitter as the public warzone.

If so, it's arguably good for society
We may finally enter the era of decentralized media...

Depends on how you define recover. Hard to imagine it going back to the way it was but I can still see a future for it amidst a more fragmented and decentralized media environment 

25/75 on strong recovery 
80/20 on a good enough recovery