History

The peripatetic German Jewish writer Heinrich Heine presciently foresaw the emergence of something like Nazism a century before it actually emerged in Germany. He also somehow knew that Communism would play a major role in the world to come at the time it was a fringe belief.

(From “The Pity of it All: A Portrait of the German-Jewish Epoch by Amos Elon)

It’s always interesting to see reasonable people who emerge to be wildly prophetic.

Whenever I see such cases, I wonder if their other predictions were equally accurate or equally wild.

But above all, I’m interested in the principles that Heine used to arrive at his conclusions. How would you make predictions about this next century? Heine’s approach is to look at centuries of the past.

Be specific.    
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I think it’s mostly luck and long time horizon. Europe was constantly in flux and at war so saying something along the lines of Germans will go crazy someday! And having it happen 100 years later is not that prophetic to me.