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LingLingChin
@zkoracle
The cryptocurrency market typically operates on a 4-year cycle, closely related to the Bitcoin Halving event (a reduction in mining rewards by half). The most recent Bitcoin Halving took place in April 2024, and according to previous cycles: After the 2016 Halving: The altcoin season exploded in late 2017, about 18 months after the halving, with the altcoin market cap increasing by over 1,500%. After the 2020 Halving: Altcoins grew significantly in mid-2021, about 14-18 months after the halving, with a capitalization increase of over 1,200%. If we apply this model to the current cycle, the 2025 altcoin season could fall around Q2-Q3 2025 (June-September), which is 14-18 months after the 2024 Halving. This is the period when Bitcoin typically peaks or goes sideways, facilitating capital flows into altcoins.
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LingLingChin pfp
LingLingChin
@zkoracle
Based on the above factors, the 2025 altcoin season is likely to explode around: Earliest: May-June 2025, if Bitcoin Dominance declines rapidly after the early-year accumulation phase and Ethereum leads the trend. Peak: August-October 2025, when the market reaches its peak liquidity and speculative sentiment peaks, similar to previous altcoin seasons. Late scenario: If Bitcoin continues to dominate or the market experiences major volatility (e.g., global economic correction), the altcoin season could be delayed until Q4 2025 or even early 2026.
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