7. Emergence of a credible, centralized startup that issues and maintains on-chain and off-chain credentials that dramatically pulls forward adoption by a few years.

Not yet. Clear opportunity if you can get a flywheel going. Centralized oracles that compound a trusted brand will work well enough for most developers. Some progress with Gitcoin Passport, EAS, Coinbase's Onchain Verify and @icebreaker.

8. Sufficiently decentralized social networks like Farcaster

If you're reading this far, well... :)

Still a lot of work to do, but we've made some progress.

3/

A trusted oracle based on social data you say?

👁️ 👁️

A trusted oracle based on social data you say?

👁️ 👁️ 

https://coordinape.com/social-oracle

CoLinks.xyz // coordinape.com // cavewall.nexus

https://medium.com/berkman-klein-center/an-introduction-to-extitutional-theory-e74b5a49ea53