0xmons
@xmon.eth
Thank god we got one sane person here explaining evo psych and how it ties into our sense of exceptionalism You can already see stuff like reward hacking across deepmind and anthropoc research Any extrapolation you make from biology presupposes an incredibly different set of optimization pressures than what we use to develop today's cutting edge systems
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Hammertoesknows š£ļøš©
@hammertoesknows
This is the best explanation of where we might be headed that I've read: https://ai-2027.com/
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caso
@0xcaso
I donāt like the fact they completely exclude good scenarios, or I missed something?
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0xmons
@xmon.eth
i don't think it's very reasonable to assume that we will get a good scenario by default this makes more sense if u have read previous things by these authors if you think we will have a good scenario by default it's probably worth trying to articulate why (See eg https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/LTtNXM9shNM9AC2mp/superintelligence-faq)
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0xmons
@xmon.eth
See also the entire thread here which prompted this https://warpcast.com/xmon.eth/0xf37c7258
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caso
@0xcaso
thanks man, Iām not an expert but I wanted to start digging a bit deeper, Iāll start with the stuff you shared still yea, I agree that itās not reasonable to include the good case by default⦠but itās ok to consider it maybe? or itās this dangerous that it doesnāt make sense to consider it at all?
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0xmons
@xmon.eth
To be clear, it's not that more optimistic cases don't exist See eg https://darioamodei.com/machines-of-loving-grace But from the 2027 author perspective, they are worried about risks If everything magically goes well, then we don't need to worry / the essay will be unnecessary So i would imagine it doesn't really make sense given their premise of what to be wary for etc etc
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caso
@0xcaso
yea makes sense - effectively the risks are huge so trying to warn and make people think about this is important, thing that they managed to do well
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