AirMiners is reversing climate change at http://airminers.com

Come join us! 2,200 experts worldwide in carbon removal, GHG removal

DAOist, decentralized systems thinker, capoeirista, Regen, ReFi, collapse-aware, bioregional resilience. - Projects: Axé DAO, Regen Link

@cjh sup?

we should revisit the climate and impact prediction concept 

@tito.eth @jhs

building onchain ai agents to fund nature & biodiversity ensurance.app   |  🦇🔊

this is why I like the @zora experiment - I think friendtech really was the leader on this - there is “always a buyer” at some price. I think @balajis.eth just had a cast on something re this. 

and fully agree with the latter part re metrics and progress. When we experimented last year we saw it as a hedge for the project: the world can bet against me and I win or I can bet that the world will lose and I win…. In both cases winning is doing whatever work I/you deem important - it’s almost like an insurance policy when no insurance can be purchased

Been asking myself: what effects do we get when "funding a Regen project through a prediction market tied to its goals?".

I like that the prediction market is available throughout the work cycle of the project and there can be liquidity to use (as opposed to the retro-active nature of impact vouchers that have no market).
As a funder/sponsor of regen projects, I could seed my donation into a prediction market (imagine for a second that the liquidity could be locked until the market resolves). I could then donate all LP tokens to the regen project who could sell the "will NOT reach goals this cycle" shares to bet on themselves and access some of the pool's liquidity (e.g. to cover operations). And when the market resolves (not focusing on oracle challenges here), the project's remaining YES shares have the same effect as a retro-active reward for reaching the goals.

Just churning what-ifs and ignoring things like "a project would also know if they're likely failing and could bet against success" and such.