I wrote about polymarket in 2020 for the Defiant back when the US election market was only $300k. You've grown so much!  

I still think the "wisdom of the crowds" logic still only works if you have a diverse enough set of inputs. It's cool that normies and even Nate Silver are starting to use Polymarket, though I'd still argue that it is more male / crypto leaning, which throws off the efficacy of prediction models. I'm curious how you all are thinking about that?

https://thedefiant.io/news/defi/who-will-win-the-us-election-eth-prediction-markets-may-have-the-best-or-worst-answer 