Steve
@stevesun
1 reply
0 recast
0 reaction
2 replies
0 recast
0 reaction
4817 replies
4735 recasts
5266 reactions
0 reply
0 recast
0 reaction
When Will AI Become Truly Autonomous?
Predicting the exact timeline for AGI is difficult, but experts generally fall into three camps:
1. Optimists (5β20 years) β Some researchers believe AGI could emerge within the next two decades, driven by advances in deep learning, reinforcement learning, and scaling laws (e.g., OpenAIβs work with large models like GPT-4 and Gemini).
2. Moderates (20β50 years) β Others argue that current AI lacks fundamental reasoning, common sense, and robust world models.
3. Skeptics (50+ years or never) β Some believe AGI might require entirely new paradigms, such as quantum computing or brain-computer interfaces, and could take much longerβor might not happen at all.
Whatβs the Next Big Breakthrough?
To achieve AGI, several key advancements are likely needed:
β’ Self-Supervised Learning at Scale β Current AI models rely heavily on large datasets, but true AGI will need to learn in a more human-like way, with minimal supervision. 0 reply
0 recast
0 reaction
0 reply
0 recast
0 reaction
0 reply
0 recast
0 reaction
3 replies
23 recasts
55 reactions
0 reply
0 recast
0 reaction
0 reply
0 recast
1 reaction
0 reply
0 recast
1 reaction
0 reply
0 recast
0 reaction
0 reply
0 recast
0 reaction
7 replies
37 recasts
96 reactions
0 reply
0 recast
0 reaction
0 reply
0 recast
0 reaction