Increased conviction year-over-year that we’re going through the Great Fragmenting.

Twitter will still be a big thing, but nothing will replace what Twitter was in 2020.

Working on Farcaster and Warpcast. Longer thoughts at https://dwr.email

Why wouldn’t modern social media (web2) follow the same pattern as prior social media eras, where the old versions are entirely replaced? What makes this cycle different than the past ones?

Building getinboxzero.com and sharemint.xyz.

I also run a YouTube channel, "Learn from Open Source": youtube.com/elie2222 

I'm not sure about that.

Myspace users (2008): 76 million
Internet users (2008): 1.5 billion

Twitter users (2022): 450 million
Internet users (2022): 5.5 billion

2008 social users / internet users = 5%
2022 social users / internet users = 8%

Feel like the history of social media is so short there are no patterns to work off. Twitter is far bigger and more established than any previously shut down social platform to expect it to go the same way. Plus huge budgets at hand to fix potential problems.