Trump's Polymarket win probability is 61.3%, likely overstated.

Elections count votes, not bet sizes. Based on participating addresses, "Trump YES" shows 57.4%, adjusting for "Trump NO" hits 50.4%.

Trump leads, but the actual election might be a close race. https://t.co/H3CfzENxFz

Ki Young Ju

wtfsayo.github

raider @raidguild /raidguild | hot take mode on

@sayo 

https://x.com/ki_young_ju/status/1852219310854607136?t=xkP5GWTOE0OtJNKK8CmmaQ&s=19

cookin' @askgina.eth https://askgina.ai - TYBB Labs, @consensys class '17

Lmao I thought I’d bet Kamala when it drops to 10% ! Looks like it’s sailed

I made near 10x on local elections against all odds