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@july
I find that P(doom) has nothing to do with how likely the world is going to end -- (obv no one can predict this with any remotely accurately take) I think it's a metric of how much existential angst that an AI Researcher is feeling on that particular day
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@rafi
Great observation. Similar applies to AGI-soon folks who mostly come from companies whose current business model is betting on continuous exponential growth.
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@rafi
Thankfully there are people who try to systematically manage expectations with papers like this one: https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.04125
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