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schorn.eth 🎩
@schorn.eth
For those who don't pay attention to Canadian politics, we recently went through what is likely one of the biggest polling shifts in the history of democracy. The Conservative party fell from a >99% chance of winning to a ~10% chance of winning.
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schorn.eth 🎩
@schorn.eth
Graphing those chances: https://warpcast.com/jarrettr/0xe642743d
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Parker Swann
@purpleswan
The real takeaway here is 338Canada doesn’t know how to calibrate uncertainty.
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