The market is unpredictable, the price is unpredictable, and any prediction is meaningless. If you have been trading for more than three years and still haven't understood this, it is basically difficult to continue on the road of trading.
When I first entered the market, I also liked to predict and study and judge the market price. This led me to often look at the market with my own feelings and emotions. If the prediction is correct, it will strengthen my confidence in the market. If the prediction is wrong, it will lead to regret, self-blame, and blame the market.
So why are the market and prices unpredictable? First of all, we have to do some basic analysis. The essence of price is the momentary consensus between long and short, and it is the result of a staged game between long and short in the past. Let's briefly analyze some variables that determine market prices. You will know that the market is unpredictable.