Some predictions on 2030 AI capabilities. But I think it's too pessimistic in its implications: if AI bug-finding is easy, then *the devs themselves* could use it to strip out bugs first.

Average code has 15-50 bugs per 1000 lines; if consumer bug-finders could catch 99%, then quite a few apps could become bug-free.

1k lines is a lot: four apps that I wrote for personal use and regularly use (findable on https://github.com/vbuterin ) are a total of 919 lines of code.

I feel like people forget too much that the "endgame" of cybersecurity (what happens if defense *and* offense become ultrasophisticated) is quite defense-favoring.

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