In you're in favor of "AI safety" (broad definition), what's your most compelling cast-length argument?

i’m in the all-gas-no-brakes camp but will do my best to steelman:

1. we’re on the cusp of agi 
2. agi is like nuclear: extinction-level threat, global superpower-level leverage, and potential civilization expanding resource
3. we dont really know how it works
4. thus, we should proceed with *extreme* caution

on point 2, there were no brakes for decades and everything worked out ok?

only if by “no brakes” you mean complete u.s. government control

by that definition i’m pretty sure the the ai safety folks would agree with you

what would this list look like if the usg didn’t become the world police post-ww2?

what would this list look like if the usg didn’t become the world police post-ww2? https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_states_with_nuclear_weapons

So the USG control will stop people in other countries from making progress?