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@NebulaDream

@nebuladream

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@nebuladream
In the first cycle, BTC soared through an extension, creating a parabolic trend. In the second cycle, BTC reached ATH following a deep correction, with alts correcting alongside it. The key indicator to watch is BTC dominance (BTC.D). When BTC.D reaches 40-30%, it may be wise to consider converting a significant portion of portfolios into USDT. This could happen in as soon as three months, or it could take up to a year. For now, we’re just waiting for BTC to reach a new ATH and for the first signs of altseason to emerge.
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Timing of Altcoin Growth: Altcoins (tracked by TOTAL3) began appreciating in dollar terms even before BTC dominance declined, gaining momentum alongside Bitcoin’s rally. Once BTC.D started falling, altcoins entered an accelerated, parabolic growth phase. Right now, we’re seeing similar growth across strong altcoins: BNB: +200% from the bottom ETH: +170% from the bottom TRX: +230% from the bottom LINK: +150% from the bottom SOL: +1,900% from the bottom Low-cap altcoins, however, follow their own dynamics, often dependent on specific factors like product, team, listings, and marketing. So, these insights don’t directly apply to any specific low-cap project. 2021 Cycle Variability: The 2021 altseason can be interpreted in different ways. The six-month altseason on the chart could be extended through 2022, suggesting that the 2024-2025 cycle might also stretch over a year. However, each cycle has distinct traits:
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When’s Altseason? 📈 Chart Link I've had this chart open for four months intending to record a YouTube analysis on it, but I still haven’t gotten around to it 🙈. Back in July, I wanted to explain how BTC, ETH, BTC.D, and TOTAL3 correlate, showing how altseasons begin and evolve over two cycles. Since that video might not come soon, here’s a breakdown: Defining Altseason: Altseason occurs when liquidity flows from Bitcoin into altcoins, visible primarily on the Bitcoin dominance chart (BTC.D). Historical Patterns: In both prior cycles, altseason (decline in BTC dominance) only kicked in when Bitcoin reached a new ATH in the fifth wave: In 2017, this was from $3K to $20K. In 2021, from $20K to $70K. For 2024-25, after BTC hits a new ATH at $70K, we’ll see if the pattern holds.
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I liked Coinbase's subtle Saturday hint🫡 Looks like the bot reconfiguration for the pump went smoothly.
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Binance will delist IDRT, KP3R, OOKI, and UNFI on November 6.
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Coinbase will conduct a series of technical maintenance sessions this week – today/tomorrow and on Saturday. Meanwhile, open interest is back at its highs, signaling increased volatility 👋.
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Runes are bringing new life to the Bitcoin ecosystem. Though, to be fair, it never really left—just took a back seat for a while. The main meme rune, Dog, is already trading on BingX (https://bingx.com/en/spot/DOGUSDT/) with a market cap of $557 million. The next step is a Binance listing, similar to Ordi, which would trigger a new wave of hype.
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Shares of Michael Saylor's company, MicroStrategy, are trading near their March highs, while short sellers continue to suffer with positions totaling $4 billion in losses. A squeezed short seller = a future buyer.
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Shares of Michael Saylor's company, MicroStrategy, are trading near their March highs, while short-sellers continue to suffer, holding positions totaling $4 billion. A shaved short-seller = a future buyer.
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The compensation plan for FTX's affected users has been approved. The majority of clients (98%) will receive 119% of their funds in cash within 60 days. The asset valuation was, of course, based on November 2022 figures, so some users have mixed feelings about this. However, 119% of the original value is better than nothing.
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A whale hit stop losses again, reducing the position (https://hypurrscan.io/address/0x1dc67adaf9f163c5b1a95043addbdfa1af58e512) to 890 BTC with liquidity at $57,335. I think this might be enough for him—down $13.5 million overall. They'll probably leave him alone now. This is the inherent problem with decentralized services like perpetuals or lending platforms—everybody knows where your liquidity is. It's already bad enough that on centralized exchanges (CEX), the platform itself knows everything about you and often triggers squeezes.
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KuCoin, of course, is something else – first, they list coins in bulk for big money, and then, after a while, they delist them just as quickly. (https://www.kucoin.com/announcement/en-st-kucoin-will-delist-certain-projects-and-their-associated-tokens-20240928) 27 coins delisted at once. I wonder how the research for these projects was done before listing? The answer: it wasn’t😀
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1051 days have passed since the peak of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization on November 15, 2021. This generally fits the overall pattern of previous cycles, where we were "stewing" for 1106 and 1096 days before the rocket launch happened. Stay strong✊
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BingX responded promptly and effectively to the hack, and deposits/withdrawals are already back online. Make sure to update your wallet addresses for deposits; I almost sent to my old one by mistake! To make up for the situation, BingX is running a promo (https://bingx.com/ru-ru/act/template/7693/?randomId=5162796668) with a $5 million voucher giveaway. It's a random draw with minimal KYC and deposit requirements, highly recommended! 🔥 bingx.com/partner/69 – register and join the promo.
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Last night, hackers breached one of BingX's hot wallets and stole tokens worth a total of $30 million. The exchange reports that: They will compensate for the loss from their own funds. This incident will not affect the exchange’s operations, and deposits and withdrawals will resume soon. User funds are safe. I didn’t panic or withdraw anything since the damage, in terms of the exchange's size, is relatively small. However, this incident is yet another reminder that the majority of deposits should be kept in cold wallets.
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Morning Market Update BTC ≈ $60,200 (-0.05%) ETH ≈ $2,420 (-0.23%) Market Capitalization ≈ $2.1T (+0.08%) Fear & Greed Index: 51 (Neutral) Altseason Index: 35 More details in the infographic.
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**MicroStrategy Acquires an Additional 18,300 Bitcoins for $1.11 Billion** MicroStrategy has purchased an additional 18,300 Bitcoins for $1.11 billion. The company's total holdings now amount to 244,800 BTC, valued at approximately $9.45 billion.
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Comparison of annual returns between Bitcoin and other traditional assets with ETFs (gold, stocks, bonds, commodities, etc.). Bitcoin is leading the pack. Boomers should jump in as soon as possible, because the big gains are just around the corner.
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Hello everyone! Join the news from the crypto world!
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good morning
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