The Big Three and Market Trends

The dollar (DXY), yields (US10Y), and oil (USOIL) move together:

Up = risk-off (caution, sell-off)
Down = risk-on (growth, rallies)

Now:

▻US10Y spiked after CPI, but DXY and oil are already trending lower.
▻Extreme dollar positioning could unwind if DXY breaks lower.
▻$100B+ liquidity from mid-Feb to April may weaken DXY, boosting risk assets.

Tracking these signals helps spot market shifts early.


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