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Crypto Asset Deep Analysis|0rXBT, $AIXBT The key is In Every BTC Halving Bull Cycle, Web3 Market Gains "A Single Super Star Project." In 2017, $ETH was the one. The biggest investment topic was Smart Contract Platform, and they were 1st Mover. This project achieved 3,712x ( $0.31 → $1,151 ) in the 2nd $BTC halving bull cycle. In 2021, $AXS was the one. The biggest investment topic was NFT and Play To Earn, and they were 1st Mover. This project achieved 1,360x ( $0.121 → $165 ) in the 3rd #BTC halving bull cycle. Then, the biggest investment topic in the current bull cycle is “AI Agent” and “DeFAI” AIXBT perfectly covers both as 1st Mover. One more thing. The project must be listed on #Binance in advance because this exchange holds the biggest trading volume with over 250 million registered user base in Web3. $AIXBT also meets this requirement. For more: https://orblabs.ventures/106300/ All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.
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Technical Analysis & Industry Trend | $AGI, $VIRTUAL , $CGPT, $AI16Z and more - January 29th The next item is OTHERS: Web3 Market Cap Excluding Top 10 Weekly Chart. The candle bar is also forming the consolidation pattern. Based on my calculation, the super bullish moment in OTHERS starts at December 8th in 2024 to April 23rd in 2025 if it follow the regular move following the previous bull cycle. For more detail: https://orblabs.ventures/106425/ All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.
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Technical Analysis & Industry Trend | $ETH, $AIXBT, $FAI, $TAO and more - January 28th The technical analysis. $AIXBT/USDT. It's Daily chart. The candle bar is forming the doule bottom formation with following the thick green trend line as the support line. If $BTC can update ATH, this candle bar move can hit the thick sky-blue trend line or the thick white horizontal line which is ATH price level. For more detail: https://orblabs.ventures/106394/ All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.
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#Bitcoin & Macro Market Analysis - January 27th Here is the key thing most #Web3 investors don't understand correctly. Presidential Order by Trump cannot build $BTC Strategic Reserve. They need pass the bill in US Congress. Republicans, the political party of President Trump, is now taking the majority both in House and Senate on US congress. This means Trump Administration can take lots of political advantage to pass BTC Strategic Reserve. But, in the final vote, they need 2/3 of consensus in the two US congresses to pass BTC Strategic Reserve Bill. 220 seats in House and 53 seats in Senate are not enough to pass the bill. Based on this, I suppose that they have to make some compromise about the bill in order to get support from some politicians in Democrats. But, overall, I am quite positive that Trump Administration can build $BTC Strategic Reserve in 2025. For more: https://orblabs.ventures/106357/ All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.
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Crypto Asset Deep Analysis|Optimism, $OP No.2 Here is the comparison between Optimism and Arbitrum. Actually, most of technologies are similar together. One of the few critical difference is modular architecture by OP Stack. Arbitrum Nitro focuses on lower transaction fees while Optimism focuses on Modularity. Then, the modular architecture is winning this competition. It’s simply because they are much more frictionless to use for dapps. Almost zero coding to launch own L2 chain. Just like to launch instances on AWS or Google Cloud. For more detail: https://orblabs.ventures/99904/ All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.
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Crypto Asset Deep Analysis|Freysa, $FAI Here is my summary. Sovereign AI Agent ( 100% Automated ) VS Bitcoin On Freysa, the size of prize pool depends on how many users joins the game. More Participants and Attempts, Higher Fee Requirement to convince Freysa. Thus, the prize pool gets bigger. Also, once attempts reaches certain volume, Time Limits is activated to complete the game. If no one can win this game, the 80% of the total fee accumulated will be equally allocated to participants. Then, about token supply control, 100% Fair Distribution on Protocol Launch. This means 0% Inflation Rate unlike BTC which still has 0.85% annual inflation rate as of now. The key difference is All Humans Can Join This Game unlike $BTC Mining. That’s why this is very interesting project to me. For more detail: https://orblabs.ventures/106155/ All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.
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Technical Analysis & Industry Trend | $AGI, $VIRT, $GAME, $AI16Z and more - January 22nd The technical analysis. $AI16Z/USDT. It's Daily chart. For more detail: https://orblabs.ventures/106262/ All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.
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Technical Analysis & Industry Trend | $ETH, $FAI, $AIXBT, $COOKIE and more - January 21st The technical analysis. $AIXBT/USDT. It's Daily chart. The candle bar is forming another consolidation chart pattern. If $BTC can update ATH, this candle bar move can also make the bull breakout. For more detail: https://orblabs.ventures/106234/ All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.
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Portfolio Update: Jan 20th 2025 I updated my portfolio. For more detail: https://orblabs.ventures/106193/ All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.
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Bitcoin & Macro Market Analysis - January 20th $BTC/USDT, Daily chart. EMA200 is lower than the candle bar move. This is good. The candle bar finally made bull breakout against the thick white bear trend line. Based on this, we can consider that candle bar move is forming falling wedge pattern or consolidation pattern. Either scenario, the next price target after this break out will be $116,000 to $117,700 as I marked in the green rectangle. But, before reaching the price level, the previous ATH at $108,000 will be a strong resistance line. Currently, I suppose in President Trump Augmentation Ceremony on Monday, he mentions about his Crypto and AI policy including BTC Strategic Asset Reserve. And this news will support the price breakout of the previous ATH. For more detail: https://orblabs.ventures/106198/ All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.
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Crypto Asset Deep Analysis|ai16z DAO, $AI16Z Then, here is the history of this project. First of all, ai16zDA ran ICO with $100K on Solana. Then, they ran another ICO with $7M which ended in half a day. Then, after they launched their tokens on October 26th, 2024, Mark Andreessen himself tweets about this project, and gained strong market attention and achieved $100M market cap. Then, with Christmas Rally effect on December 25th 2024, they achieved $1B market cap. But, their DAO treasury has only $800K for investment. So, again, the token market cap over $1B with only $800K AUM without proven investment performance is extremely overvalued. For more detail: https://orblabs.ventures/105995/ All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.
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Crypto Asset Deep Analysis|Robot Firm, $RBF the total score evaluation is as follows. Pain Point is at 5.0. We need Decentralized Metaverse Game Protocols in Web3 which can defeat Web2 Social. Product is at 4.0. A new version of DeFi Kingdom. Team is at 3.5. Anonymous team, thus, low score. Execution Power is at 4.0. Not that bad traction. But, not outstanding. Token Economy is 4.0. Their token economy design will be also as same as other Metaverse protocols. Risk Stage is at 3.5. They are now on Series A stage, but, I cannot identify the competitive edge of their game. Thus, I set low score here. Total score is 23.5. My minimum standard for investment is 25.0 or higher, so I don’t recommend investment Robot Firm’s token, $RBF at this time. For more detail: https://orblabs.ventures/99612/ All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.
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Technical Analysis & Industry Trend | $AGI, $VIRTUAL, $GAME, $AI16Z and more - January 15th The technical analysis. $VIRTUAL/USDT. It's Daily chart. The candle bar is moving into the another white zone area. The momentum of Virtual is getting weaker now. For more detail: https://orblabs.ventures/106103/ All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.
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Technical Analysis & Industry Trend | $ETH, $FAI, $AIXBT, $COOKIE and more - January 14th The technical analysis. FAI/USDT 4H chart. The candle bar move is on the bull trend line. For more detail: https://orblabs.ventures/106073/ All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.
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Bitcoin & Macro Market Analysis - January 13th Last week, we had 17 consecutive green candle bar on 1H chart which rarely happens. This must be related to whale buying move on $BTC. Thus, let’s review the similar moves in the past. 1st one was in Jan 1st 2017 which was the very beginning of the biggest bull run in 2nd BTC Halving Bull Cycle in 2017. 2nd was in Jan 14th 2023 which was the very bottom area of the long-term bear cycle in 2023. 3rd was in Feb 26th, 2024 which was Right before the final rally of BTC Spot ETF Approval, also right on the strong support line of the falling edge pattern. 4th was in Nov 12th 2024 which was After the rally of Trump Win in US Election, also right under the current strong support lines. Then, 5th, this time is in Feb 10th 2024 which was right on the current strong support lines. For more detail: https://orblabs.ventures/106039/ All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.
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Portfolio Update: Jan 11th 2025 I updated my portfolio. For more detail: https://orblabs.ventures/105988/ All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.
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Crypto Asset Deep Analysis|Lumen Here is their competitor landscape and traction stats of each player. Looks like glucose model by Levels and Nutrisense has been growing faster than Lumen. For more detail: https://orblabs.ventures/99579/ All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.
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Crypto Asset Deep Analysis|#Bitcoin, $BTC No.5 We also have to know about what’s the benefits of Strategic Reserve for US Government? There is no risk to harm the value of USD? Here is good reference. Actually, US government has many Strategic Reserve already starting from Crude Oil, Grain, and Medical Equipment. The closest one is of course Gold which was officially started since 1934. The purpose is to ensure economic stability, finance security, and international credibility. How about #Bitcoin? Here is my summary. Considering the culture of US, I think #2, #5, and #7 will be the main reason to pass the law. For more detail: https://orblabs.ventures/105348/ All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.
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Technical Analysis & Industry Trend | $AGI, $AI16Z, $AIXBT, $GAME and more - January 8th The next item is OTHERS: #Web3 Market Cap Excluding Top 10 Weekly Chart. Compared with TOTAL3, the technical price move of OTHERS is clearer. The thick green long-term bear trend line works as the support line. Based on my calculation, the super bullish moment in OTHERS starts at December 8th in 2024 to April 23rd in 2025 if it follow the regular move following the previous bull cycle. For more detail: https://orblabs.ventures/105928/ All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.
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Technical Analysis & Industry Trend | $ETH, $HYPE, $VIRTUAL, $LUNA and more - January 7th The technical analysis. HYPE/USDT Daily chart. The candle bar eventually made bear breakout against the orange bull trend line. This is very bad news for $HYPE. Also, compared with $BTC market, this price move on $HYPE is clearer for H&S top pattern. The thick white trend line is the neck line. The candle bar already made bear break out. For more detail: https://orblabs.ventures/105898/ All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.
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