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No, Polymarket Whales Aren't Evidence of Prediction Market Manipulation

A surge in betting on Donald Trump in prediction markets, including Polymarket, has sparked concerns of market manipulation, but there is little evidence to support this claim. Trump's rising odds are reflected across multiple platforms, not just Polymarket, suggesting a broader trend. A large bet from a single trader doesn’t necessarily indicate manipulation; it may simply reflect the trader's belief that Trump is undervalued. Prediction markets tend to react quickly to information and may provide more immediate insights than polls or pundits. Ultimately, the race remains close.