Prediction of Offchain Concert Success. Small Venues 400 Capacity or less. Plus Notes. Ranked on scale of 1-7. Target date is Fri, Nov 1 2024.

1. City 6
2. Venue 6
3. Date Quality. 6
4. Weather 6
5. Tickets 3
6. Sound 6
7. Artists Query 5

City & Venue is considered high quality by peers in industry. Date Quality found by ranking day, date, and competitive events. 

Ranking assigns Tuesday best for off night shows and Friday as best weekend day for slightly complex reasons.

Weather forecasted to be sunny and mild, with fair weather predicted the day before and after. 

Advance ticket plan is strong for shows produced in house. A bit problematic for independent producers still building base audience. Sound & house techs strong.

Artist response to potential query expected to be strong.

Ranking scores about a 5.3. Any prediction at line 7 (asking artists) scoring above 5 is strong.

These metrics can be used for events planned in as little as 10 days in advance, less with experience.