Grok analysis 


Short-Term Analysis (1-3 months, April-June 2025)

Key Factors
Tariff-Induced Uncertainty & Market Sentiment
Trump's new tariffs—10% baseline on imports plus "reciprocal tariffs" (54% on China, 46% on Vietnam)—take effect April 9. Historically, trade wars (e.g., 2018) initially trigger risk-asset selloffs, including BTC.
X (Twitter) data shows BTC dropped from $88.5K to $81K on April 4 post-announcement, with 2,500 BTC flowing into exchanges (@KMarieFrancois), indicating(hedging) behavior.
If global stocks (especially Nasdaq) weaken due to tariffs, BTC may face further pressure (BTC-tech stock correlation: ~0.6; Glassnode).
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Conclusion
Short Term (April-June): BTC may dip to $75K-$80K on tariff jitters but could rebound to $90K if policies unespected good. Monitor post-April 9 reactions.

Long Term (2025-2027): Tariffs’ secondary effects (inflation, USD decline) + pro-crypto tailwinds could propel BTC to $150K-$200K.