John Smit

@johnsmit

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1080 Followers

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Snapshot — 3 May 2025 #KeyFacts BTC $96.2 k (‑1 % 24 h) — range $95.9‑97.1 k. +$675 M spot‑ETF inflow; 52 % from BlackRock IBIT. Layer‑2 names ARB, OP top TVL/volume gainers (~+4 %). Yield check: Curve sfrxUSDe/USDe ~18 % APR vs Binance flex USDT ≈3 %. #Trend Sideways 95‑97 k band. ETF inflows keep bias positive, but spot demand wanes. #DailyWatch Monitor ETH/BTC > 0.0196 for possible push to 0.021. On dips (‑3 % from intraday high) ARB and OP remain the liquidity magnets in alt space.

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BTC holds above $95 k — day range $94 420-95 935; futures close $95 690. ETF inflow +$172.8 M yesterday; April net ≈ $4.1 B. BlackRock adds $54 M in ETH, total stack ≈ $2.06 B. 🔥 Trends & second-line themes Layer-2 momentum: ARB +4.2 % / OP +3.8 % on TVL growth. HK stablecoin framework launches in May. NFT/GameFi revival: weekly volumes +10 % Fed risk (1 May): 67 % odds of rate hold, tone key for volatility. RWA tokenisation: Norque debuts blockchain insurance + AI payments. 🎯 Point-by-point analysis BTC: breakout above $95 k targets $97.5-98 k; support $93.7 k. ETH/BTC: institutional flow may lift pair toward 0.020 in May. Layer-2: ARB/OP could add 8-12 % if TVL inflows persist. Risk: rising UST yields could spark 2-3 % market pullback on hawkish Fed.

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Idea of the Day 🎯 Focus on Arbitrum and Optimism: If BTC holds above $95,500, consider increasing Layer-2 exposure.

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Daily Conclusion The market shows strong bullish momentum. Recommended to hold BTC, ETH, monitor Layer-2 tokens for potential upside.

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Coins to Watch Arbitrum (ARB) — Layer-2 momentum Optimism (OP) — rising traction Ethereum (ETH) — eyeing $1,900 breakout

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Analysis and Recommendations BTC breaking $95,000 is a strong bullish signal. Institutional capital is flowing into ETH and Layer-2 ecosystems. Near-term BTC target: $97,500.

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🌎 Hong Kong Launches Stablecoin Regulation May 1st 🚀 Layer-2 Projects See Activity Surge (ARB, OP) 📉 SEC Postpones Decision on ETH ETFs 📈 Nasdaq Hits 2025 Highs 🖼️ NFT Market Up 10% Weekly, Driven by GameFi

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📈 Bitcoin Surpasses $95,000 Mark BTC trades around $95,230, breaking key resistance amid strong institutional demand. 🏛️ BlackRock Expands Ethereum Exposure Another $54 million ETH purchase signals growing altcoin interest among funds. 🐋 Whales Continue BTC Accumulation BTC whale wallets (+1,000 BTC) increased by 3.2% over the last 7 days.

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🧠 Daily Tip: The market shows positive momentum, but high volatility persists. It's advisable to exercise caution and employ risk management strategies.

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📈 Bitcoin Shows Distribution Phase After Accumulation Bitcoin's (BTC) chart analysis indicates a transition from accumulation to distribution phase, suggesting potential price correction or consolidation. 🐋 Whales Purchase $3.5 Billion in BTC, Sparking Market Optimism Large investors acquired $3.5 billion worth of BTC, pushing the price to $94,208 and igniting hopes for an altcoin rally. 🏦 BlackRock Increases Ethereum Holdings BlackRock purchased $54 million in Ethereum, raising its total ETH assets to $2.06 billion, indicating growing institutional interest in ETH.

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Japanese Investors Trigger Major Bond Sell-off 📊 What happened: Japanese institutions sold $21.1 billion in US long-term bonds — largest two-week sell-off since 2020. ⚡ Analysis: Rising bond yields could tighten global liquidity, pressuring crypto in 1–2 weeks. ❗ Watch closely: If bond outflows persist, crypto may face short-term corrections.

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Bitcoin Breaks $95,000 Amid US-China Trade De-escalation 📊 What happened: US President Donald Trump softened trade rhetoric toward China. Stocks surged, Bitcoin followed. 📈 Analysis: Lower perceived global risk boosts risk-on assets like crypto. 🔥 Expectation: Next resistance zone for BTC — $96,500–$97,000. Breakout could push BTC toward $100,000.

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🐋 Whale Accumulation Intensifies According to Santiment data, significant accumulation of BTC and ETH is observed among addresses holding over 1,000 BTC and 10,000 ETH respectively.

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📈 Bitcoin Surpasses $94,000 Bitcoin (BTC) has surged past $94,000, marking its highest level in six weeks. The rally is attributed to positive signals from U.S. President Donald Trump regarding reduced tariffs on Chinese imports and easing global trade tensions. The total crypto market capitalization is nearing $3 trillion

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🏛️ Changes in US Cryptocurrency Regulation The US Department of Justice has announced the end of its "regulation by prosecution" approach towards cryptocurrency companies. The department will now focus on investigating serious crimes involving digital assets, such as terrorism financing and money laundering.

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📈 Bitcoin Eyes $90,000 Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around $88,500, showing growth amid a weakening US dollar and increased institutional interest in cryptocurrencies. Analysts note that surpassing the $90,000 level could pave the way for further growth to $110,000.

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0gm from the 0G Panda 🐼!

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I'm sick of this swinging 2600 $DEGEN

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Continuing our Guild on 0G series, we’re spotlighting three more AI-native builders: Leea Labs, Unagi, & Rivalz 💡🤖. From agent orchestration and living NFTs to reasoning-powered oracles, these teams are redefining DeAI ⚡

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to the moon? 2300 $DEGEN

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