1/ in the big picture, just like prediction markets, decision markets are only useful when there are a lot of participants (liquidity) who care deeply about a subject, do deep research, and place bets. This might work for big public topics like elections, but it’s very hard to achieve for smaller, domain-specific markets where there’s information asymmetry, making the system very inefficient.

Decision markets thrive on participant engagement and information symmetry. While effective for major public events, smaller markets struggle due to a lack of liquidity and deep involvement. Achieving efficiency in such domains remains a challenge.