sustaining innovation: political betting onchain
disruptive innovation: political memecoins

Hypothesis:
Political memecoins are the first instantiation of positive-sum prediction markets v.s. zero-sum betting markets.

Things I'd analyze:
+ correlation of polymarket v political memecoins
+ relative trading volumes of comparative markets (memecoins probably way larger)
+ General UX, perception and properties

I've written about the concept of prophecy markets, I think if you squint memecoins might be the better instantiation of the idea.

I've written about the concept of prophecy markets, I think if you squint memecoins might be the better instantiation of the idea.

https://jacob.energy/predicting-provenance.html

Yea because the liquidity is so apparent.