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Then when it comes to Europe (because we see similar narratives play out)... Stats from European Borders ===================== Overview of Asylum in Europe: The European Union Agency for Asylum published their Mid-Year Review for 2024, from January to June. The main take-aways are: - The EU+ received 513,000+ applications for asylum. - The recognition rate - which reflects the percentage of asylum applications that receive decisions granting refugee status and subsidiary protection – is 46%, the highest level since 2016. The top 4 nationalities for asylum seekers in 2024 are Syrians, Afghans, Venezuelans and Colombians. Under the Schengen Free Area in Spain, Venezuelan and Colombian nationals are not required to get a visa to stay in Spain, which means they could travel there through a legal pathway by plane and then ask for asylum. Germany remains the top country of asylum, with 24% of the total applications, but with a decrease (–20%) compared to 2023. Spain ranked 2nd & Italy 3rd
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Source for the above is: https://euaa.europa.eu/publications/latest-asylum-trends-mid-year-review-2024 Trieste Border Monitoring The IRC Italy program in Trieste at the Italo-Slovenian border served 2,032 clients in August (+34% compared to June), of which 28% were children. The three main nationalities of clients are Afghanistan (41%), Türkiye/Kurdistan and Syria. 65% of the clients expressed that Italy was not their final destination and confirmed their wish to settle in another country, while 28% of them expressed their willing to stay in Italy. All the data is available on this snapshot, as a part of the monthly protection monitoring report done by the Trieste team.
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Additional reflection from IRC Italy team: Despite official sources reporting a sharp reduction in migratory flows along the Balkan route (with Frontex indicating a 79% decrease in transits in the first nine months of 2024 compared to 2023), the arrival of migrants in Trieste has not seen a significant decline. Data collected by IRC Italia and Diaconia Valdese at Trieste’s central station show that 10,424 individuals arrived between January and September 2024, only a slight decrease from the 12,190 arrivals in the same period of 2023 (-14%). The reduction is modest, leaving the needs of thousands of people in the city largely unchanged. These findings align with data from Slovenia, where the number of arrivals dropped by just 11% in the same timeframe compared to the previous year
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