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evmlion
@evmlion.eth
Polymarket prediction markets for the ETH ETF don't work. ETH holders use these as a hedge disproportionately. If CT influencers would read ethfinance they would know that https://x.com/evan_ss6/status/1768053097283060093?s=46
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Manator.eth π©πππ
@manator
Whatβs you perspective on the ETF odds?
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evmlion
@evmlion.eth
Double than polymarket at least
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Harpocryptes
@harpocryptes
Did you buy some on polymarket? ;)
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evmlion
@evmlion.eth
I'm long ETH. If you're an ETH bull that's more upside than buying from polymarket
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Harpocryptes
@harpocryptes
2x in two months (in your estimation, in average) is pretty good EV. Plus in principle you could use your ETH as collateral to borrow (a small amount of) stables to bet on polymarket to keep the ETH upside at the same time.
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evmlion
@evmlion.eth
You're forgetting taxes. Lots of tax implications that make it unprofitable for many people to do what you're suggesting
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