hahatoshi
@hahatoshi
#Market expectations for the Fed's key rate for 2025 ⚪️March 19: PAUSE (probability = 100%). ⚪️May 7: PAUSE. ⚪️June 18: cut by 25 bps to 4.00-4.25%. ⚪️July 30: PAUSE. ⚪️September 17: cut by 25 bps to 3.75-4.00%. ⚪️October 29: PAUSE. ⚪️December 10: PAUSE. Today, markets are waiting to see what tone Jerome Powell (QT/QE) will take at the press conference after the decision is announced.
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