Salvino Armati ↑
@salvino
the performance of the S&P 500 in the 3mo before the election has predicted 87% of elections since 1928 and 100% since 1984 when returns were positive, the incumbent party tends to win If the index suffered losses in the three-month window, the incumbent tends to lose
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Goksu Toprak
@gt
Is there really an incumbent in this election?
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Salvino Armati ↑
@salvino
that's a fair point
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