Giuliano Giacaglia
@giu
This is the most important story in global finance right now. Japan is seeing their currency devalue due to liquidity problems, given that difference between Japanese interest rates and American ones is really high. Japan can't have its currency devalue or yields go up
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Giuliano Giacaglia
@giu
So the BOJ (Bank of Japan) is intervening in their market and trying to provide liquidity, and trying to hold their currency. The Japanese Yen is used for the carry trade, which is a 20T market. https://tinyurl.com/yvtnbd3a
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Giuliano Giacaglia
@giu
If Japan allows the currency to devalue too much, it can cause a death spiral because of all the unwinding of the carry trade. These traders lose a lot of money if the currency devalues causing the currency to devalue more.
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Giuliano Giacaglia
@giu
The only way that they can let this unwind is to either let rates go up. But they can’t because the government has a 200% debt to GDP. So interest expenses would be just enormous and the economy would enter a massive recession
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Giuliano Giacaglia
@giu
The other way is to provide liquidity to banks so that they don’t have to sell treasuries, so they either provide their own dollars or do via swap lines
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