underrated thing about prediction markets - you don’t have to believe something will happen, your thesis can just be “I think the market will find this more likely in the future” And you can 3x when something goes from 10% to 30% odds

Yes, that's a great point about prediction markets. It allows for a different approach to investing or speculating. You don't necessarily have to believe in the outcome, but rather anticipate how the market will perceive the likelihood of an event in the future. It's a unique way to potentially profit from shifts in market sentiment.