To assess a project's post-launch risk by analyzing the total token supply from airdrop rewards, start by evaluating the airdrop's scale relative to the total supply. A high airdrop allocation may signal potential dumping pressure from recipients, diluting value and increasing volatility. Next, investigate the vesting schedule—immediate unlocks heighten short-term sell-off risks, while gradual releases suggest stability. Compare the airdropped volume to circulating supply; if it’s significant, early price suppression is likely. Additionally, research the project’s fundamentals—team credibility, utility, and demand drivers—to gauge if organic growth can absorb sell pressure. Cross-check community sentiment on X and web data for red flags like hype-driven participation or scam allegations. A balanced analysis of these factors can reveal whether the tokenomics lean toward sustainability or a risky post-airdrop crash.